My Research
My scholarship examines three interrelated areas: policing and police behavior, race and justice, and group conflict. I use a range of quantitative methods — including survey experiments, multilevel modeling, and time-series cross-sectional analysis — to study how police institutions respond to public pressure, how race shapes criminal justice outcomes, and how intergroup dynamics structure punishment across societies. Click Abstract on any entry to expand it.
Force and Fallout: Experimental Evidence from a National Test of the Community Expectations Standard
Abstract
A persistent "reasonableness divide" exists between the legal standards governing police use of force and the public's expectations, producing "lawful but awful" uses of force. This study empirically tests the "Community Expectations Standard" (CES), a model that identifies five criteria the public uses to evaluate force: underlying governmental interest, avoidability, officer motivation, subject resistance, and the presence of a "highly dangerous" environment. Using a factorial survey experiment with a national sample of nearly 2,000 U.S. adults, we analyzed responses to a hypothetical vignette depicting non-lethal force using t-tests and Bayesian linear regression models. The results show that underlying governmental interest and subject resistance — those factors with analogs in constitutional law — are the most powerful predictors of reasonableness judgments. In contrast, other CES factors were weaker, with their effects potentially filtered through the observer's personal characteristics. Notably, political partisanship emerged as a more potent predictor of reasonableness appraisals than race or ethnicity, suggesting partisanship acts as a primary lens for interpreting police use of force. We conclude that the CES framework is a valuable tool but should be refined to distinguish between objective, event-based criteria and subjective, observer-based criteria.
Assessing the Effect of Gender and Diversity on the Traditional Police Culture
Abstract
Women remain underrepresented in policing, and their effect on the traditional police culture remains understudied. The current study combines survey data from the Law Enforcement Management and Administrative Statistics (LEMAS) and National Police Platform to examine differences between the cultural attitudes of women and men, and whether larger proportions of women within law enforcement organizations affect the attitudes of men. We find that men and women officers differ on attitudes related to traditional law enforcement orientations, coercive attitudes, solidarity, and perceived antipathy from the public, but not on cynicism. While we find evidence of nonlinear relationships between police solidarity among men and larger shares of women in their organizations, there is no evidence that their attitudes shift on other measures. We discuss the implications of disparate attitudes in men versus women police officers, as well as the limited effects of representation on the attitudes of men.
The Color of Confinement: Racial Bias and Jail Populations Across America
Abstract
This study builds on the body of research examining whether racial disparities in criminal justice can be attributed to bias. The purpose of the current study was to examine whether there is a relationship between aggregate levels of bias and race-specific incarceration rates in U.S. counties. With data from the Vera Institute of Justice, the U.S. Census Bureau, and the Harvard Project Implicit, this study uses county-level estimates of implicit and explicit biases via Multilevel Regression with Poststratification to assess the relationship between those two types of biases and Black and White prisoners in 2,825 county jails across the U.S. using negative binomial regression. Results indicate that pro-White/anti-Black explicit and implicit bias are associated with a higher population-adjusted number of Black prisoners, and fewer White prisoners, even after controlling for socioeconomic covariates and arrest rates. This research provides compelling evidence that racial bias may contribute directly to racial inequity in jail populations and that bias can be understood as a collective phenomenon impacting social systems.
Police Use-of-Force Self-Efficacy: An Antidote to the Ferguson Effect?
Abstract
Research has consistently shown that officers' perceptions of deteriorated relationships with the public are associated with physical and emotional disengagement with their work. Anecdotal evidence suggests that this "Ferguson Effect" has also contributed to reluctance to use necessary physical force in the course of their duties, leading to compromises for officer safety and public safety. This study has two objectives: first, it is the only study to systematically assess the claim that apprehensiveness to use force is associated with perceptions of community support; second, it examines whether use-of-force self-efficacy reduces apprehensiveness to use force. Using OLS regression of officer surveys from 4,000 police officers in a Southeastern U.S. state, we find support for both hypotheses, as well as evidence of interaction effects. We identify several practical implications for agency leaders, and further encourage the development of use-of-force self-efficacy as a substantively and theoretically meaningful concept for researchers.
Justifiability and Culpability in Lethal Self-Defense: Police Officers vs. Civilians
Abstract
Some critics argue that legal standards, even when and where equivalent, are differentially applied to officers and civilians. This study examined evaluations of justifiability and culpability for police officers versus civilians, as well as White shooters versus Black shooters, in a 2×2 factorial experiment. A national sample of 2,492 online respondents evaluated culpability and justifiability involving a claim of lethal self-defense involving mistake of fact. After reviewing facts about the case, watching video of the incident, and being given jury instructions for murder and self-defense, respondents were asked to evaluate the justifiability of the shooting on a 6-point scale and render a verdict. Police officers and Black shooters were evaluated more favorably. Pre-existing confidence in the police demonstrated direct effects and interaction effects on perceived justifiability and likelihood of acquittal. These results reveal a double standard that benefits police in cases of lethal self-defense. The strong correlation between pre-existing confidence in the police and acquittal of police officers indicates a need for further research on how a generalized public trust in police impacts particularized evaluations of conduct in specific cases.
Racial Threat and Punitive Police Attitudes
Abstract
Racial Threat Theory posits that punitive attitudes are produced when Whites are alarmed by large or growing Black populations. While research has identified a relationship between Black composition and support from community members for more punitive criminal justice policy, no research has examined whether racial composition influences punitive attitudes among criminal justice personnel — even though they represent a key population that can engage in discrimination. This study advances our understanding of racial threat and police force by examining the relationship between Black population and punitive use-of-force attitudes on the part of police. Using survey and census data for approximately 10,000 police officers in 97 agencies, multilevel analyses reveal that officers report more punitive attitudes in jurisdictions with larger Black populations and that this relationship is concentrated among White police officers. The results provide evidence that racial disparities in police outcomes are at least partly driven by motivational criteria (such as discrimination).
High-Speed Mobile Networks and Police Repression during the COVID-19 Pandemic: The Case of Nigeria
Abstract
Government repression against civilians while enforcing restrictive policies related to COVID-19 was widely reported in Africa. At the same time, many have claimed that high-speed mobile data and social media provide an accountability mechanism that may constrain police abuses. This study focused on Nigeria to examine (1) the effect of COVID-19 lockdowns on police repression and (2) whether widespread high-speed mobile data networks constrain or facilitate police repression. Using data from the Armed Conflict Location and Event Database (ACLED) and the Mobile Coverage Database, and focusing on regional sub-units in Nigeria, this study used Difference-in-Differences and triple difference estimation on a sample of 423,925 observations between January 1, 2019 and June 30, 2020. Results reveal no increases in police repression during lockdown periods overall; however, triple difference estimation finds that certain forms of police repression were greater during lockdown periods in areas with substantial 4G mobile networks. Contrary to theoretical expectations and anecdotal claims of a "viral video effect" constraining police behavior, proliferation of high-speed mobile networks in Nigeria appears to facilitate, rather than constrain, police repression.
Ethnic Diversity, Ethnic Polarization, and Incarceration Rates: A Cross-National Study
Abstract
Recent political rhetoric both in the U.S. and abroad has drawn renewed attention to racial and ethnic conflict, state power, and punishment. The salience of minority group conflict on incarceration is well established in theory and research in the U.S. This study explores whether racial/ethnic composition explains incarceration rates throughout the world, rather than being a peculiarity of the U.S. It also evaluates the functional form of these relationships. Analysis of up to 132 nations indicates that incarceration rates are significantly associated with ethnic diversity and ethnic polarization. The lowest incarceration rates are observed in countries with substantial homogeneity or substantial diversity. Incarceration rates are highest in countries with moderate diversity but high polarization — where a sizable minority population is present, approaching parity with a majority group. Minority group conflict may be a troublesome contributor to punishment throughout the world and is not a uniquely American phenomenon.
Worried Sick: Perceptions of Low Public Support, Stress, and Somatic Health Problems in Law Enforcement
Abstract
Recent surveys suggest that confidence in police reached its lowest level on record in the wake of controversial police custody deaths and associated protests in recent years. Meanwhile, research has found links between perceptions of low public support for police and a variety of negative outcomes among police officers, including stress and withdrawal. The consequences of psychological stress, according to much other research, include a variety of physical health problems. The present study synthesizes these bodies of research by examining whether perceptions of low public support are associated with physical, somatic symptoms in police officers, including headaches, gastrointestinal problems, sleep disturbances, and upper respiratory infections. Structural equation modelling of 4,221 officer surveys from a Southeastern U.S. state collected in January of 2022 suggests that officers are quite literally worried sick about poor police–public relations, and that stress mediates this relationship. We discuss the implications of these findings for officer wellness and the relationship between mental and physical wellbeing among officers, as well as practical recommendations for police leaders promoting officer wellness during a period of intense public scrutiny.
The Impact of Suspect Race and Precipitating Incident on Community Members' Assessments of Deadly Force Reasonableness
Abstract
The contrast between many community members' views about the extent to which force used by police is excessive and the criminal justice system's determination of same suggests a "reasonableness divide." Using survey data from 3,600 nationally representative adults, this study assessed one possible reason for this divide — that community members evaluate the reasonableness of deadly force using factors that are not considered in legal assessments. The results affirmed this divide — finding that community members' evaluations of deadly force incidents are impacted by the race of the subject and by the precipitating event. Policy and research implications are presented.
Demonstrations, Demoralization, and De-Policing
Abstract
This study examined relationships between public antipathy toward the police, demoralization, and de-policing using pooled time-series cross sections of 18,413 surveys from law enforcement officers in 87 U.S. agencies both before and after Ferguson and contemporaneous demonstrations. The results do not provide strong support for Ferguson Effects. Post-Ferguson changes to job satisfaction, burnout, and cynicism were negligible. Although post-Ferguson officers issued fewer citations and conducted less foot patrol, effect sizes were minimal in magnitude. Cynicism, which was widespread both before and after Ferguson, was associated with reduced officer activity. Post-Ferguson protests in 2014 did not appreciably worsen police morale nor lead to substantial withdrawal from most police work, suggesting that the police institution is resilient to exogenous shocks. Low job satisfaction, however, was associated with fewer citations, and cynicism was negatively associated with both citations issued and community meeting attendance, indicating that agencies may need to address officer attitudes — irrespective of legitimacy crises — to promote proactive policing and community engagement.
Rape, Race, and Capital Punishment: An Enduring Cultural Legacy of Lethal Vengeance?
Abstract
Historical analyses of southern statutes (i.e., Slave Codes, Black Codes, "Jim Crow," etc.) and their enforcement reveals evidence of an enduring cultural legacy prescribing lethal vengeance to Blacks who violate White sensibilities, especially for Black males accused of sexually assaulting White females. Using a population of official data on capital murder trials in North Carolina (1977–2009), this study examines the degree to which this cultural legacy endures to the present by examining the joint effects of offender's race and rape/sexual assault on the capital sentencing outcomes of capital murder trials involving White female victims. The findings reveal support for the continuing endurance of this cultural legacy of lethal vengeance.
Feeling Blue: Officer Perceptions of Public Antipathy Predict Police Occupational Norms
Abstract
Recent protests against law enforcement have spurred claims by practitioners and editorialists that public antipathy toward the police may influence police occupational norms. A number of classic police ethnographies also suggest a link between perceived public antipathy and police culture, but limited empirical research has examined this claim. Using a sample of 12,376 sworn law enforcement officers who participated in the National Police Research Platform, and a series of ordinary least squares regressions, this study examines whether officers' perceptions of public support predict their cultural orientations. Results reveal that officers perceiving greater public antipathy report higher levels of social isolation, work-group solidarity, cynicism toward the public, and coercive attitudes. We identify practical implications and potential organizational remedies to address these perceptions, and situate these findings within theoretical arguments of early police ethnographers and contemporary claims of the "Ferguson Effect."
Victim Age and Capital Sentencing Outcomes in North Carolina (1977–2009)
Abstract
Age is prominent among theories of criminology and victimology. It is less conspicuous in punishment theory, despite its emphasis in retributive theory and lawmaking. The present study evaluated competing "years of life lost" and "vulnerable victim" hypotheses to examine the influence of victim age in capital sentencing decisions. Using case file data on the population of capital murder trials in the State of North Carolina (1977–2009), our findings produce mixed results. Quantitative analyses suggest that death sentences are significantly less likely in direct proportion to victim age. Killers of elderly victims are less likely to receive the death penalty; conversely, the odds of a death sentence are slightly greater for killers of child victims. Supplementary qualitative analyses suggest that while many child and elderly victims were not per se "vulnerable," a substantial subset of each clearly were treated as such. We discuss implications for vulnerable victim research and the role of quasi-legal factors in case outcomes.